WHO BUILT THIS
I'm a builder and investor based in Warsaw.
But GOR has nothing to do with that.
This is a personal project, built in my own time, driven by genuine curiosity about how the world actually works — macroeconomic systems, energy flows, the feedback loops between geopolitics and financial markets. I read everything I can find on it. At some point reading wasn't enough, so I started building.
I've spent years managing product teams and building technology products. I can design systems, define architecture, think through logic end to end. But writing code was always someone else's job — I always had to rely on others to bring things to life.
That changed a few months ago. AI coding tools gave me superpowers I didn't have before. For the first time I could sit down alone, with an idea, and actually ship it. GOR is what came out of that — an obsession with understanding global risk, finally with the tools to act on it.
THE SIGNAL THAT MATTERED
In March 2026, US-Iran tensions escalated to a level that was clearly moving oil markets — but every tool I could find was either too slow (news), too expensive (professional terminals), or too opaque (black-box indices with no methodology). I wanted something that combined satellite data, vessel tracking, OSINT, and market signals into a single number I could check before markets opened.
So I built it. Then it started working.
Brent crude reached $119 within hours.
2 hours and 40 minutes before the peak was reached.
HOW IT WORKS
GOR is computed every 5 minutes from six sub-indices, each tracking a different dimension of physical oil supply risk. The composite index determines the current regime — from NOISE through TENSION, ELEVATED, CRISIS, and SHOCK.
SYSTEM STATUS
DATA SOURCES
Vessel draught
classification
ELINT News
IntelSlava
IranIntlTV
OSINTdefender
GeoConfirmed
BBBreaking
MiddleEastSpectator
+ 13 more channels
BBC
Reuters
TASS
Mehr News
AP
Arab News
Middle East Eye
Oil Price
WTI (yfinance)
OVX
Alpha Vantage
Spread analysis
NewsAPI
OpenSanctions
WHAT THIS IS NOT
GOR doesn't predict strikes. It reads physical and market signals and converts them into a composite number. It has real blind spots: AIS data goes dark when vessels go dark deliberately; satellite thermal coverage has revisit gaps; OSINT channels can be noisy, delayed, or deliberately manipulated.
When a manual override is active — as it is now for Hormuz — it means the automated signal is being supplemented by human judgment about a situation the algorithm can't fully capture.
This is a tool built by one person in their spare time. Use it accordingly.
GET IN TOUCH
If you're using GOR for research, trading, or have data or feedback to contribute — I'd like to hear from you.